Multi-Group Comparisons

Welch's ANOVA: When Group Variances Differ

Welch's ANOVA handles unequal variances across groups without requiring the homogeneity assumption. Learn when to use it instead of standard one-way ANOVA and how to follow up.

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Welch's ANOVA: When Group Variances Differ

Quick Hits

  • Does not assume equal variances across groups (unlike standard ANOVA)
  • Uses Welch's F-test with adjusted degrees of freedom
  • Recommended as the default by many statisticians — it works fine even when variances ARE equal
  • Follow up with Games-Howell post-hoc tests (also variance-robust)
  • Especially important with unequal group sizes

When group variances are unequal, the standard One-Way ANOVA can produce inflated Type I error rates, especially with unequal group sizes. Welch's ANOVA solves this problem.

How Welch's ANOVA Differs

Standard ANOVA pools variances across groups and assumes they are equal. Welch's ANOVA:

  1. Does not pool variances: Each group keeps its own variance estimate
  2. Adjusts degrees of freedom: Uses the Welch-Satterthwaite approximation to reduce degrees of freedom when variances differ
  3. Protects Type I error: Maintains the nominal significance level even with heteroskedastic data

The result is an F-statistic and p-value, interpreted exactly like standard ANOVA.

When Unequal Variances Matter Most

The combination of unequal variances AND unequal group sizes is especially problematic:

  • Larger variance in the smaller group: Standard ANOVA becomes liberal (too many false positives)
  • Larger variance in the larger group: Standard ANOVA becomes conservative (misses real effects)

Welch's ANOVA handles both scenarios correctly.

Post-Hoc Comparisons

After a significant Welch's ANOVA, use Games-Howell post-hoc tests for pairwise comparisons. These also do not assume equal variances and pair naturally with Welch's approach.

Do NOT use Tukey HSD after Welch's ANOVA — Tukey assumes equal variances.

Example

You compare engagement scores across three pricing tiers: Free (n=500, SD=12.1), Pro (n=150, SD=8.3), Enterprise (n=40, SD=19.7).

Levene's test rejects equal variances (p < 0.001). Standard ANOVA might give misleading results because the smallest group (Enterprise) has the largest variance.

Welch's ANOVA: F(2, 87.4) = 15.2, p < 0.001. The adjusted degrees of freedom (87.4 instead of 687) reflect the uncertainty from unequal variances. Games-Howell post-hoc tests identify which pairs differ.

See also: Heteroskedastic Groups: When Variances Differ for more on handling unequal variances.


References

  1. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3693611/
  2. https://real-statistics.com/one-way-analysis-of-variance-anova/welchs-anova/

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I always use Welch's ANOVA instead of standard ANOVA?
Many statisticians recommend it as the default. Welch's ANOVA performs well even when variances are equal, and it protects you when they are not. The cost is slightly reduced power when variances truly are equal, but the protection against inflated Type I error when they are not is worth it.
What post-hoc test should I use with Welch's ANOVA?
Use Games-Howell post-hoc tests, which also do not assume equal variances. Tukey HSD assumes equal variances and is not appropriate after Welch's ANOVA.
How do I detect unequal variances?
Use Levene's test or simply compare the standard deviations across groups. A rule of thumb: if the largest group SD is more than twice the smallest, variances are meaningfully unequal. But using Welch's ANOVA by default avoids the need for this preliminary test.

Key Takeaway

Welch's ANOVA is a robust alternative to one-way ANOVA that does not require equal variances across groups. It is increasingly recommended as the default choice because it protects against variance heterogeneity without meaningfully sacrificing power when variances are equal.

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